📢New paper in @thejop.bsky.social on the reciprocal nature of citizens’ support for democratic transgressions. Together with Hannah Werner & @annakern.bsky.social , we show that when confronted with violations by political opponents, citizens’ support for transgressions by their own side doubles!

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Excited to share our new working paper with @benyoel.bsky.social: we analyse public opinion dynamics around the consequential election in Hungary last April and specifically look at (anti-)democratic attitudes in the aftermath of Orbán's defeat. Available here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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Europe is heading into a super election year in 2027. Those elections will take place against a precarious security backdrop: war in Ukraine and Iran, a retreating US & Europeans increasingly worried about their own security. So shouldn’t this benefit the political centre? Not so fast. 🧵

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File this under: Things you don't do if *you* think you're winning.

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Happy to share our new article in Electoral Studies, with Mattias Agerberg! We field a two-wave panel experiment during the 2022 Swedish election campaign to test a broad set of predictions about when and why voters follow party cues. Open access: doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2026.103139

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