sgadarian.bsky.social
Professor, Political Science | Syracuse University, Maxwell School | American politics, political psychology | Co-author of Anxious Politics and Pandemic Politics
👤 Joined on 09 August 2023
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I would add a third: increasing costs.
Show PostIt’s tempting to point to the overall decline in the number of high quality local polling operations, but the number of polls coming out in September was pretty much in line with last cycle, so it’s not just that (though those could be more big houses, and fewer locals).
Show PostTwo things going on here, I think. 1) Some states just don’t have local public polls any more, which is a problem. 2) Some pollsters are shy about releasing numbers too close to an election, as it’s harder to say “my numbers are good, but the race changed.”
Show PostGood morning Bluesky! This feels like a good time to re-up my primer to getting the most out of midterm election polling, as well as my advice that the correct answer to "can we trust the polls" is "trust them to do what"? Understand the limitations, also the uses. www.cnn.com/2026/09/09/p...
Show PostTo everyone celebrating SHABBAT SHALOM! And to everyone else I hope you have a GREAT WEEKEND!
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