Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

16 October 2026 13:14

Even though I had 2028 leaps, taking the opportunity to exit TLT for +25% here on the averaged down position. I expect we get a low retest to reenter. Yellow dotted line is previous ATL + 55 EMA in blue. Very strange to see yields popping this much on hot CPI/PPI and retail sales.

Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

16 October 2026 13:13

If we somehow out-rotate a SPX correction once again, around end of next week it will be time to go long regardless of where price is.

Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

16 October 2026 13:13

Long stocks, probably tech for a large rebound. I'll post more details when it's clearer. TLT on the other hand is quite confused right now. Timing will be into year end IMO.

Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

16 October 2026 13:13

Meh, technical mean revert that is basically done on value, together with TLT. Should get at least one day where everything drops into the next week.

Văzdooh

vazdooh.bsky.social

12 October 2026 16:41

Thesis is the same. Bounce has been feeble and without meaningful improvements in breadth. We got a technical break in the AI trade. Both are bearish. Holdouts are MAGS & software. No one wants to commit either way before CPI, so likely nothing big happens until Wed. Have to wait and see.