Hyde T. Voltyge

hydevoltyge.bsky.social

19 October 2026 17:29

There was a little conversation last night about some of the possible 10+ errors (like happened in New Jersey last year) Meanwhile I'd put forward probably Iowa high single digits? And Texas is further in the thread but I think it misses possibly the most, more than 10. bsky.app/profile/hyde...

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doomscroll.bsky.social

19 October 2026 17:19

It will vary a lot by state. Some states will be off by like 0.1, others off by 8

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doomscroll.bsky.social

19 October 2026 17:16

It’s not even by how much, it’s that they’re almost certain to be underestimating D’s

Hyde T. Voltyge

hydevoltyge.bsky.social

19 October 2026 17:16

Yeah, this ^^ I'd wager Texas is among the biggest misses, Iowa is up there, etc. but I don't really have a specific number, it's not a uniform thing because these states aren't uniform in true partisanship but are mostly getting their polls herded to "close" results regardless

29 U.S.C. § 157

organizingpower.bsky.social

14 October 2026 23:48

When it’s all said and done, there will have been tens of billions spent to influence elections just in 2026 alone. Imagine what all that money could do. Imagine how many homeless people could get housing. Imagine how many people could get healthcare. It’s sickening.