Punchline: Turnout is up big. African-American turnout rates are highest in GA and NC. Hispanics are seeing sizable increases, too. The electorate is becoming more diverse in both states. Registered Republicans are voting at lower levels even as turnout goes up for everyone else

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National Prop 187 incoming

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I was telling college students this week that the most important trend in Southern states to watch will be what older Black voters and HBCUs will do in a post-Callais world.

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Got to meet @debhaalandnm.bsky.social and Katie Hobbs last night:

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We’re on track for one of the wildest midterms in recent memory. No President hasn’t been this unpopular before since Dubya in 2006. Buckle up everyone. This blue tsunami is gonna go crazy

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