Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛

rmcelreath.bsky.social

11 October 2026 10:49

We really need to make Meng's Big Data Paradox central to teaching, don't we? Researchers don't know this stuff bc they have never been exposed to it. But it is fundamental. (Link to paper PDF statistics.fas.harvard.edu/sites/g/file...)

Cas (Stephen Casper)

scasper.bsky.social

09 October 2026 20:06

I recently shared some thoughts with @Kennedy_School staff about Dario's Essay, embedded evaluators, China, and regulatory capture. Check it out if you're interested. www.youtube.com/watch?v=blc...

Cas (Stephen Casper)

scasper.bsky.social

09 October 2026 18:17

I am only getting to read this 3 weeks after it was published, but I was very happy to see this in China's CAC's AI Safety Governance Framework 3.0. Exhibit N on how the lack of AI gov collab between the US and China is more the US's fault than China's. www.cac.gov.cn/rootimages/...

Cas (Stephen Casper)

scasper.bsky.social

09 October 2026 17:55

I think that AI smashing human achievements in mathematics might be overhyped, more an example of Moravec's paradox than a robust sign of singularity soon. Recall how AI eclipsed humans at Go ~10 years ago but was much slower to get good at tasks that would change the world.