Michael Shepherd
@mshepruralpolitics.bsky.social did:plc:gszenxk2vtr4t34tlrsrzag2
Assistant Professor, Political Scientist, University of Michigan School of Public Health. Rural Politics and Health Disparities. Website: https://www.michaeleshepherd.com Book: https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/R/bo271447648.html
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Michael Shepherd (@mshepruralpolitics.bsky.social), 10 Kasım 2024 tarihinde katılan bir Bluesky kullanıcısı. 1.859 takipçisi var, 728 hesabı takip ediyor ve 87 post paylaştı.
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New at the Smotus Report: Democratic gains were most impressive in the South — and largely driven by large turnout by Blacks and Latinos
Postu gösterAn email from our school district says they're receiving hundreds of inquiries about what the election means for public schools; I can only imagine. Things feel surreal here in Texas.
Postu gösterAfter the fact, analysts tend to project attributes they like onto candidates that win and attributes they dislike onto losers. This justifies their beliefs about why their favored positions get votes. Ideological positioning is especially vulnerable to this type of post-hoc rationalization.
Postu gösterThis is why political scientists who try to study the relationship between candidate attributes and election success try to find objective measures of those attributes. You especially don't want anyone coding those attributes who already knows how many votes the candidates got.
Postu göster4. If Dem Party consultants discouraged Dems from trying in any of these states, they need to be asked hard questions. 5. The "popularism" argument has failed. It would never have predicted Dem wins in TX, SC, KS, etc. Leadership matters.
Postu göster
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