paulwx
@paulwx.bsky.social did:plc:ttig3tn7jqyspc7o2b4v6r5p
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paulwx (@paulwx.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 19 setembro 2023. Tem 488 seguidores, segue 1.490 contas e publicou 270 posts.
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I don't even know how this is possible, but estimations suggest the House generic ballot will be within +/- 0.3pp of AtlasIntel's final poll. It may end up correct to the decimal point. It's scary good.
Ver postIndiana Dems nearly flipped the state house I can’t believe this
Ver postThe recalled vote in the exit got updated to Harris +5 overnight That is a huge turnout differential, but since the generic ballot is now tracking to D+14, it seems the Dems just did well by every possible political metric
Ver postThe underestimation of Dems last night was larger than any pro-Republican error in the polls over the last decade with the exception of 2020. And I don't see major media orgs fundamentally reshaping their columnist slates or editorial priorities to address their "blind spot," as they did after 2024.
Ver postAll I can say is, put Richard Ojeda on the Oversight Committee and enjoy the show. I’ve seen him in action many times - he would be outstanding. Armed Services / Veterans / Oversight. Let him cook.
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