Cory McCartan
@corymccartan.com did:plc:dnsx4seefot4j3p7u6yifyx6
Asst. Prof. of Statistics & Political Science at Penn State. I study stats methods, gerrymandering, & elections. Founder of UGSDW and proud alum of HGSU-UAW L. 5118. 🏳️🌈 corymccartan.com
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Cory McCartan (@corymccartan.com) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 21 setembro 2023. Tem 711 seguidores, segue 277 contas e publicou 247 posts.
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Assuming it has correct stats knowledge on a given topic (big if), it still has to interpret correctly what you are trying to do, and that seems to be a fundamental limitation. It will always be vulnerable to identifying the wrong application of an otherwise useful tool.
Ver postMy newest #Rstats package, {bartisan}, was accepted by CRAN today! {bartisan} implements Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), a machine learning method that has the benefits of Bayesian posterior inference and automatic regularization. #statssky #episky #causalinference #ML
Ver postBoth sets of data here are Dem share of two-party vote. So polls are Dem/(Dem+Rep), rather than margin
Ver postWell spotted! This was a mistake which we fixed
Ver postcongrats on the front page. I leaned on your 'mostly cancels nationally, but reduces competition' paper with Kenny, Imai and co for a piece on gerrymanders going back to 1812. it's the cleanest answer I found to 'has it gotten worse?'
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