Carl Allen
@realcarlallen.bsky.social did:plc:b5osur4tvqcgjoyysc7pooqq
Analyst, Scientist, Misinformation Fighter, Debate Winner, Author 📖 Book: *The Polls Weren't Wrong* out now 👉 https://www.routledge.com/The-Polls-Werent-Wrong/Allen/p/book/9781032483023
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Carl Allen (@realcarlallen.bsky.social) é um usuário do Bluesky desde 12 novembro 2024. Tem 827 seguidores, segue 69 contas e publicou 1.137 posts.
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this is exactly how i read them. like marketing research.
Ver postDitto on that. His overall view makes a lot more sense than the people who mistake polls for predictions.
Ver postI highly recommend @realcarlallen.bsky.social 's stuff on polls. Polls are never predictions of election outcomes. They are simply snapshots at a point in time and provide an estimate of a candidate's base of support.
Ver postMaine's early ballots are up 43% on the same point in 2022. Registered Democrats and registered Republicans are each up 35%; unaffiliated voters are up 67%. That's 288,072 ballots through Oct 29, and registration isn't vote choice. callthemap.com/early-vote/maine
Ver post3% picked a third party candidate. 5% still unsure.
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