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(@megatrope.bsky.social) est sur Bluesky depuis le 22 septembre 2023. Le compte a 1 373 abonnés, suit 795 comptes et a publié 1 590 posts.
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TLDR: (just talking about Orange County) the GOP needs a big Election Day vote to counter the Dem early vote advantage, and so far they are not getting it. But it's impossible to say if the swing is big enough to deliver Dem statewide victories, given the persuasion uncertainty.
Voir le postKeep in mind, this share swing is only in the sense of partisan vote composition, and doesn't account for persuasion, nor for the partisan break of independents.
Voir le postActual Election Day turnout data!!! FL does a good job of sharing this info. I'm going to start with Orange County, where the Eday turnout is evenly split between GOPs and Dems. In 2024, the total Eday vote was Dem +3.6%. So that is a shift to GOPs. Good for them? Probably not.
Voir le postWhen we win, we need America's next New Deal. Medicare for All. $25 living wage. End the Iran War. Zero aid Israel. Tax the billionaires. Make Trump Hoover if he vetoes it.
Voir le postBut in all seriousness for fuck’s sake vote today and don’t vote for fascists. We can go back to yelling at everybody who sucks next week. Time to make the white supremacists who killed our neighbors in the street and opened up foreign blacksite concentration camps feel some pain. Your vote helps.
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