Ryan C. Smith
@rcsmitheco.bsky.social did:plc:ulxrvfr2wr5icui6kc7samrv
History prof. Author of, "The Real Oil Shock: How Oil Transformed Money, Debt, and Finance". Economic historian, writing at the Spark https://the-spark.ghost.io/ Also published in Liberal Currents, OilPrice.com, and the New Republic.
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Ryan C. Smith (@rcsmitheco.bsky.social) es un usuario de Bluesky que se unió el 8 abril 2024. Tiene 1.120 seguidores, sigue a 1.097 cuentas y ha publicado 2.016 posts.
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Me gusta públicos de la red Bluesky.
For example, @rff.org modelers - who I respect and mention only because theirs is the most transparent study about assumptions (👏) - assume BAAJA's NEPA changes decrease the cost of interconnection and spur power lines on federal lands by 50%. Why 50%? Because the modelers said so.
Ver postAs far as I know, all BAAJA studies so far used energy accounting models. Some just have higher spatial resolution. Higher-resolution models are no less assumption-driven than my low-resolution model. All energy modeling has the logical structure "If this, then that," even if presented otherwise.
Ver postI'm honored that @richardmeyer.bsky.social, VP at the American Gas Association, is posting on Bluesky again, after nine months away, to criticize my BAAJA modeling. Richard correctly notes that my model makes assumptions, as all energy models do. I don't agree that this invalidates the conclusions.
Ver postIf you are wondering why I haven't shared this publicly, it's because the actual analysis, including assumptions, calculations, sources etc, hasn't been shared publicly. And I kind of feel like being anti-slop also means being pro transparency and pro evidence and pro community
Ver postRemember when all the Smart Thinkers took Trump's incredibly thin margin of squeaking by as evidence of a huge mandate and the new American thirst for all-encompassing fascism? And thus every business leader had to go all-in on destroying civil society and any vestige of human dignity? Well.
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