onewhitelight

@onewhitelight.bsky.social did:plc:r7cgcqs2ei5k2bmt2tlwqyo5

All about that weather thing 🏳️‍🌈 🇳🇿 (he/him)

En Bluesky desde el 1 enero 2024

Seguidores: 472
Siguiendo: 343
Posts: 936
Días en rankings: 0

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onewhitelight (@onewhitelight.bsky.social) es un usuario de Bluesky que se unió el 1 enero 2024. Tiene 472 seguidores, sigue a 343 cuentas y ha publicado 936 posts.

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Secretary of Defense Rock@sodrock.bsky.social02-11-2026 04:09
Calm
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Dj@djsoke.bsky.social02-11-2026 04:08
(ik this is a little hyperbolic, but I do think the feel of a polling error, esp if it’s uniform, would be way bigger than the absolute magnitude)
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Andrew@openpolicy.bsky.social02-11-2026 04:06
Three years ago, I managed to vote while in the UK. A fortnight later some kind person shared their Covid-19 with me. A not-so-great combo of feeling like crap and seeing a crap government being assembled. This year, let’s try to avoid infection and this diseased government continuing in office.
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James@toner56.bsky.social02-11-2026 04:05
Because when Trump came on the scene he polarized ‘high’ and ‘low’ trust people into Dems and GOP respectively. So republicans are now disproportionately people who don’t trust institutions and don’t want to tell others what they think
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G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com02-11-2026 04:05
I think this is easy to explain. Past NYT polls did not weight by past vote and only controlled party at the sampling stage. Unsurprising that the move to using the “synthetic past vote” variable in the weight would control D bias when non-response among Rs is so high
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