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SK

@sstratpolitics.bsky.social did:plc:jqxoz37667iqtse4cbv2pge3

Elections analyst at @stratpolitics.com 1987⚔️🛡️

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SK (@sstratpolitics.bsky.social) es un usuario de Bluesky que se unió el 22 junio 2023. Tiene 2.769 seguidores, sigue a 2.627 cuentas y ha publicado 411 posts.

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  • G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com

    I think this is easy to explain. Past NYT polls did not weight by past vote and only controlled party at the sampling stage. Unsurprising that the move to using the “synthetic past vote” variable in the weight would control D bias when non-response among Rs is so high

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  • Jake@jakenazar.bsky.social

    there's 2 days till the election big dawg, that's like being down 10 pts and going onside under the 2MW I'm turning that shit off brother lol

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  • Jake@jakenazar.bsky.social

    along these lines, my favorite version of this post is "vote like we're 10 points down!!" the most obvious not a sports fan indicator ever

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  • Chris@thechriswilcox.bsky.social

    So this happened on Thursday. Been a rough few days but working on feeling better soon.

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  • World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysis.bsky.social

    Look, I just want to say it’s heartwarming that everyone mostly ignores our factional struggles and votes Democratic bc Orange Man Bad. All of the Dems are winning independents, doesn’t matter what state, and that’s 🥲

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