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• G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com03-11-2026 07:58

  It's 12:01! Happy Election Day! No more polls will be aggregated at fiftyplusone for 2026. We have started our final average and forecast model runs. Final article to come. Happy voting!

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• André Brett@drdrehistorian.bsky.social03-11-2026 07:34

  Note that I am in absolutely no position to answer questions that may arise from the article, which if you have any should be directed to Kevin

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• André Brett@drdrehistorian.bsky.social03-11-2026 07:34

  I'm seeing a whole bunch of claims made about margins of error in NZ polling lately, and I think some of the people making such claims would do well to read @kevinbonham.bsky.social's piece on margin-of-error polling myths (Australian context but relevant for claims made about NZ polls)

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• André Brett@drdrehistorian.bsky.social02-11-2026 11:05

  Another state election during my lifetime that proved to be of more than ordinary importance: Qld 1998. It inaugurated the Beattie era, set the state Nats and Libs on a course to the LNP merger, and gave us a vivid illustration of what happens when you elect ON MPs

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• Lisa Pierce@labsp61.bsky.social02-11-2026 09:06

  This "Promised Land' that 🍊💩🤡 speaks of...to me that seems more like Canada at this point

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