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• geoffrey ✨ (scared now)@parsnip.bsky.social04-11-2026 01:57

  not only did nowhere, indiana swing but a gay democrat won it outright

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• I Travel Like Sound Dog@chadstanton.blacksky.app03-11-2026 20:15

  Moderates repeatedly crossing party lines to endorse and publicly vote for Republicans amidst the most racist and disastrous Republican administration in public memory ought to end the argument that’s it’s the left wing of the party that needs to prove it’s loyalty to the Democratic base.

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• Daniel Suitor@danielsuitor.com03-11-2026 18:32

  Legal realists (like me) have often been tarred as doomers or cynics or fools for insisting that SCOTUS has always been a political body. But that also means the Court can be affected by politics! It has been heartening to see lots of folks come around to this in the past four years.

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• mtsw@mtsw.bsky.social03-11-2026 05:13

  You can talk about aggregation, you can talk about averaging, you can talk about whatever I do not think the methodology behind 2026 polling *can* be accurate. I think pollsters have kludged together reasonable guesses by fucking with demographic weights and making assumptions.

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• mtsw@mtsw.bsky.social03-11-2026 05:13

  We used to have telephone based polling in an era when like 60% of households would pick up a phone call and respond to a human pollster. And we were well aware of that system's limitations and inaccuracy. Now? It's like recruiting Candy Crush players with in-game rewards with 0.1% response rates

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