Andrew Weber
@noplot.bsky.social did:plc:r6rb5hwqlibzw5vbmwbsjeyn
Mostly harmless random stupid stuff (citation: my wife). Confusing relatives, coworkers, spouse, and cat for decades. Probably at the movies as you read this. He/him.
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Andrew Weber (@noplot.bsky.social) ist seit 18 Oktober 2023 auf Bluesky. Das Konto hat 2.145 Follower, folgt 989 Konten und hat 3.468 Posts veröffentlicht.
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Some of us have our parents’ poll tax receipts.
Post anzeigensouth dakota: safe r (republican hold) same story with brian bengs, it's great to have a serious independent campaign for senate in a deep red state and also I think this is a pretty handy double digit win for rounds I would love to be surprised
Post anzeigenidaho: safe r (republican hold) I love that todd achilles made a real go of this but what little polling we've gotten doesn't suggest to me that this is actually going to be competitive I'd love to be wrong but I think this is just a very comfortable hold
Post anzeigenmississippi: likely r (republican hold) basically the exact same story as louisiana - this is going to be close but the state is too inelastic for me to see a flip without roy moore-level turnout collapse and we aren't quite there
Post anzeigenlouisiana: likely r (republican hold) enormous Black turnout is going to scare the everliving shit out of republicans here and it's going to be closer than anyone expected but I simply do not think the southern white vote is going to disappear quite as much as it would need to for an actual flip
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