Ryan J. McComb
@bayespr.bsky.social did:plc:nw7wloewfi2ellfmark2ucus
Data Science @VoteHub.com | election modeling, mapping, and other related things | 🇺🇸🇨🇦 | exhaustive ideas at cohese.org
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Ryan J. McComb (@bayespr.bsky.social) ist seit 11 November 2023 auf Bluesky. Das Konto hat 89 Follower, folgt 12 Konten und hat 72 Posts veröffentlicht.
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VoteHub projects James Talarico to win the Texas U.S. Senate election.
Post anzeigenTexas has elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1988. Ken Paxton is running more than 20 points behind Trump's 2024 margin in Dallas, Fort Bend, and Bexar, James Talarico leads statewide by 14, and there is no path to victory left for Paxton.
Post anzeigenHouse control was close to a given for Democrats at this point, and Senate control now looks very likely too. What we're watching now is the extent of it, and the fallout from what is looking more and more like a blue tsunami.
Post anzeigenKY-06, the first competitive House race of the night and a big early indicator for the nation, is looking like a bloodbath for Ralph Alvarado. He leads by 15, but he'sshort of what he needs, including Jessamine, where Zach Dembo is leading a county Trump won by 36.
Post anzeigenThe first polls close in one hour. Follow our coverage here and our analysts below for more detailed analysis as results come in: CEO: @GarrettHerrin Head of Data Science: @ZacharyDonnini Data Scientist: @JordanSchwartz Data Science Fellows: @ryanjmccomb , @ElliscbIV , @juanfwulff
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