Mark McGeoghegan
@markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social did:plc:c35hmnjfutz5klcp7jqzh7sr
📊 Quant social & political science | 💼 Associate Advisory Director @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social | Assorted other stuff
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Zusammenfassung
Mark McGeoghegan (@markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social) ist seit 29 September 2023 auf Bluesky. Das Konto hat 17.968 Follower, folgt 2.484 Konten und hat 6.317 Posts veröffentlicht.
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Prediction markets tell us close to nothing useful beyond polling. Because polling missed the size of the Dem win by around 4pts on average, the prediction markets also missed it.
Post anzeigenas good a repudiation of shor-glesias punditry as ever put to paper imho
Post anzeigenI feel Bismark’s idea is that one that should be used "With a gentleman I am always a gentleman and a half, and when I have to do with a pirate, I try to be a pirate and a half."
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