Oh, yes, well aware. I was more commenting that logic should still be a part of critical thinking and tested for.

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Annual reminder that teenagers are also kids and if you see them out trick or treating, don’t give them crap, give them candy

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7/ … but if 2026 enthusiasm rebounds to 2018 levels, or just above 2022, D margins should be more comfortable. Again, can’t be sure! Fraud may impact. Also massive GOP spending this year vs 2022/2018 districts may produce a red wave of Election Day votes; since 3/4s vote that way, upsets can happen.

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6/ Another interesting thing: 2022 was a down year, relatively, for statewide D candidates vs 2018. Walz’ margin fell from +12 to +8. Ellison went from +4 to +1. Blaha (Auditor) went from +6 to +0.2. Pot parties were still playing in 2018 but not 2022 so not quite apples/apples …

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5/ I think Steve Simon’s prediction of a big 2026 turnout is right, but it’s important to note both parties will contribute. DFL just has a bigger traditional base to grow from. Ticket-splitters or switchers or a flood of new early GOP voters could upend D hopes but I’d rather be DFL.

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