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Again: I cannot emphasize how important the role of the focus group test leaker and @rooster.info was in all this; because of that, it ruined one of Team Vivek’s plans to run the ad much closer to Election Day, catching team Acton off guard with little time to respond or set the narrative, etc. …

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… The fact that @rooster.info published online when he did was a window of time that meant: a) enough time to respond by Dems, b) probably maximum damage for Vivek, and c) not enough time to recover or have voters forget, in a period where voting had started. If this debacle had happened in, idk…

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…August, you could make the argument that there would be time to recover. If Vivek loses come election night on Tuesday, it won’t be solely because of The Ad and the upturning of when they were talking about running their attack. His numbers were gradually sliding long before. But it does seem…

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…like the last week and a half have locked in dynamics of the race where if it goes one way, everyone who is hedging their language now is gonna look back and say: of course that was gonna happen

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