I should probably think about this more and include a section in a book about the different forms of expertise

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Being realistic. When the poles are tied, the conventional wisdom is that you give it to the GOP because their voters are better about showing up. I hope this is more like 2018. But this is a good time to remind you, I am not your therapist

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I think it is entirely possible that it could be a blue blowout. But right now, it’d still be cautious about how close those tied races are

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But you have to balance that against the problem that Trump voters will not talk to pollsters

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That’s a wrap. Thank you to everyone who followed along this season!

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