lalosalamanca62.bsky.social
👤 Joined on 18 março 2025
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@lalosalamanca62.bsky.socialThey sometimes talk to their "sources" (whoever that may be) before making moves. This feels like the EV though making the races more competitive than thought. Still, FL-Sen should've been likely weeks ago. It's Lean R right now.
Show Post@/goldwagnathan.bsky.social said something similar lol but deadass FL being toss-up again would be such a massive win for Dems and a massive repudiation of MAGA
Show PostGenuinely a good choice this time I feel lol Though I do kinda think in the back of my mind that if Dems overpower the enormous FL GOP numbers advantage that it'll give them a bit of cushion in the wins too, maybe 3 points due to poor Election Day GOP turnout etc.
Show Postpersonally I'll make a "Florida will be Florida" take and say both races will be under 1% feels correct
Show PostAs for predictions, I am a coward and and want to say “ask me on Thursday” but simply, atp it’s undeniable GOP is underperforming (current Early Vote is 2.6 points left of 2018 R+3) and they are running out of time
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