BREAKING: 9th Cir. again rejects Trump admin bid to force California to segregate ballots of 20K suspected foreigners on voter rolls, cites Constitution's Elections Clause & NVRA. Maj: Bennett (Trump), Sanchez (Biden). Dissent: Bumatay (Trump). Doc: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

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2 weeks ago I wrote that Judge Reyes in the Golf Course case was preparing to hold the admin accountable. Today, she ordered an investigation gov’t officials' lies. Here, the background, before Trumpworld erupts with predictable accusations she’s a crazy judge joycevance.substack.com/p/its-more-t...

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New episode of the PN Pod is live featuring me and @paulwaldman.bsky.social taking viewer questions and setting the table for next Tuesday

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DDHQ Forecast Update (10/30): House FL-9: Lean R → Tossup MI-4: Lean R → Tossup MT-1: Lean R → Tossup TX-34: Lean D → Likely D Democrats are now up to an 82% win probability and a forecasted total of 239 seats. 13 seats are in the Tossup column.

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DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE (10/30): Senate Democrats now have a 62% probability of winning the Senate. They're favored to flip five states. Today's big mover is Kansas - it has shifted further towards the Democrats, with Republican Roger Marshall now at just a 53% chance of winning.

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