Dj

djsoke.bsky.social

30 octobre 2026 16:07

Should get the last nyt/siena polls this weekend, one last nuke to the discourse

David Sher

david-sher.bsky.social

30 octobre 2026 14:17

Yes, and it's still substantially weaker than Travis relative to 2024, judging by these numbers.

Dj

djsoke.bsky.social

30 octobre 2026 14:17

If you'd like a sense of how big today will be, mornings have by far been the weakest times vs 2024 this year, and Travis already exceeded 2024's first hour and MontCo easily had its best 7-8am hour of the cycle

ControversyCow

controversycow.bsky.social

30 octobre 2026 05:08

awesome thanks!

Robert Black

hurricanexyz.bsky.social

30 octobre 2026 05:05

Wow, Nate's fancy estimate matches my completely informal one almost perfectly (Okay I might go a little higher, but "heavily favored but not quite a shoe-in" is definitely the vibe)