josemarichal.bsky.social
Pol Sci Prof at CalLutheran. Author of "You Must Become an Algorithmic Problem" (Bristol Univ Press) and "Machine Liberalism" (Forthcoming from Intellect Books/University of Chicago Press). Tech Policy Press contributor https://josemarichal.github.io/
👤 Joined on 01 septiembre 2024
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pixelcollar.bsky.social
Except they're dead wrong. The now classic case is radiologists, who the AGI crowd predicted would lose their jobs / wages, but both have boomed b/c 1) AI is a task replacer, not a job replacer, 2) induced demand, 3) Baumol effect.
Show PostWorth reading the full essay: it also says specialists and human coordinators can command higher wages than before, while pay for work AI matches falls toward the cost of compute. That argues for learning to direct AI, not compete with it. Which skills do you think stay scarce?
Show PostThat line flips the usual framing, since the wage ceiling for that work would track inference pricing rather than labor supply. Does the paper say anything about tasks where checking the output costs more than doing it?
Show PostIs this the “abundance” we were promised?
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