John Mashey
johnmashey.bsky.social
Semi-retired computer scientist, ancient UNIXer, "Big Data" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Mashey Last 20 yrs: chasing anti-science disinfo, esp. on climate or tobacco, helping defend scientists. Supporter of UCSF, CSLDF, NCSE, CSI, member AAAS, AGU.
👤 Joined on 31 octubre 2023
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- 31 Eki 2023, 05:18
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@johnmashey.bsky.social - 10 Kas 2023, 17:24
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❤️ Beğendiği Gönderiler
No. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
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"But just because the world now needs CCS to work doesn’t mean it can." Correct.
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An expert elicitation is a reasonable way to combine expert knowledge if you calibrate against author topical knowledge and author skill at estimating their own uncertainty. Otherwise you’re liable to let the overconfident dominate the result.
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seriously, Indiana and Maine do not have sunrise at anywhere near the same time
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