Ax3m

Ax3m

byfl.bsky.social

Silly math dog from the PNW. 22. EN/JP/ES (to some level!) Not technically NSFW, but even still, you wouldn't want your boss seeing this stuff!

👤 Joined on 15 marzo 2024

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  • 15 Mar 2024, 07:38
    🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı: @byfl.bsky.social

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Nate
01 noviembre 2026 02:32

Saudi Arabia is a feudal state with the thin veneer of a modern state on top of it, and feudal states are terrible at modern warfare. Having a glut of princes and other connected families without real work for them to do means the government is packed to the gills with failsons. Military included

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The Iranian regime needs out of this conflict too, after all. A new democratic administration in 2028 might provide them the face-saving exit necessary. But you are going to be conceding some de facto Iranian hegemony, because that's what happens when you fight and lose.

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To the degree there is a play here, it is maintaining the blockade and then negotiating for the free flow of oil in exchange for other concessions (almost certainly including a clear road to nuclear breakout). Trump can't do that, of course, because it would be an admission of defeat.

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Joe Stieb
01 noviembre 2026 00:51

Yes it is and was, actually, and the closest any american came to dealing with the regime was obama.

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Joe Stieb
01 noviembre 2026 00:51

No it’s actually bullshit that presents no evidence for its own claims, nor your claim.

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