Our experience illustrates the value of bringing theory—even seemingly straightforward theory—into ever-dangerous contact with the real world. In the process, you may reveal unexpected ways in which the theory might need to be revised or in which it might be fruitfully extended.

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🎯 @mattyglesias.bsky.social put this well earlier this year: "A more typically left-wing tic is to express what sounds to me like the symptoms of clinical depression, but frame them as political critiques of the status quo." www.slowboring.com/p/worry-less...

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To top it off, I also found several hundred errors in the Constituency-Level Elections Archive while working on this project, which I corrected (with help from @chanret.bsky.social). You can find the "Clean CLEA" data on GitHub (I have also alerted the CLEA team). github.com/jackobailey/...

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🧵 𝙃𝙤𝙬 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙫𝙤𝙩𝙚𝙨 𝙙𝙤𝙚𝙨 𝙞𝙩 𝙩𝙖𝙠𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙬𝙞𝙣 𝙖 𝙨𝙚𝙖𝙩? I have a new article out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social that tries to answer this question by modelling the "effective threshold": the point at which a party has a 50/50 chance of winning a seat in a district. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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People knock Bitcoin as only useful for money laundering, buying drugs, and allowing the most annoying person you went to school with to be vindicated by their speculative bets on it. So I guess it's cool we can now also add 'enabling North Korea to boost its economy by 20% in a single hack'.

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