insidejoke.bsky.social
👤 Joined on 18 August 2023
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This has to be a bit. This HAS to be a bit.
Show PostThe entire 2026 midterm can be summarized as this: polling error underestimating GOP yields moderate to large wave with GOP possibly holding Senate; polls accurate or underestimating Dems yields genuine GOP carnage everywhere.
Show PostYeah the more precise description is tossups in states where Trump won 3 times broke red (which is largely the situation with the current slate).
Show PostThat's not quite true in '18 -- NV and AZ were rated tossups that Ds won.
Show PostYes we also lived through this in 2018 and 2020 when the tossups all broke red.
Show Post