Jo_clever_ke

Jo_clever_ke

insidejoke.bsky.social

👤 Joined on 18 August 2023

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  • 18 Ağu 2023, 16:23
    🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı: @insidejoke.bsky.social
  • 13 Kas 2023, 01:17
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Silly B Man
31 Oktober 2026 14:49

This has to be a bit. This HAS to be a bit.

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Josh Marshall
31 Oktober 2026 14:19

The entire 2026 midterm can be summarized as this: polling error underestimating GOP yields moderate to large wave with GOP possibly holding Senate; polls accurate or underestimating Dems yields genuine GOP carnage everywhere.

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Yeah the more precise description is tossups in states where Trump won 3 times broke red (which is largely the situation with the current slate).

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31 Oktober 2026 14:19

That's not quite true in '18 -- NV and AZ were rated tossups that Ds won.

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Yes we also lived through this in 2018 and 2020 when the tossups all broke red.

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