blackgaynerd.com
A Third (Greater) Reconstruction for a Fourth American Republic. (they/them)
👤 Joined on 07 Februar 2024
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Final primary participation numbers after early voting. This is a likely 54-55% Democratic group.
Show PostYeah, that’s basically every Georgia gubernatorial election since 2010.
Show PostJackson. If Election Day vote drops under a 1/3, he’s toast. If Election Day has more than late breaking deciders, I don’t think that’s great for him. And if there isn’t a large surge below the Gnat Line… not good. And Cherokee and Forsyth are lagging from 2022 EV numbers.
Show PostAnalysis is almost done! There was a lot of data/models to work through this morning. I'm excited to share the current state of the midterms in Georgia very shortly!
Show PostSince this is somewhat buried on Chaz's tool, yes, the Republicans have been slowly but surely making up ground from their awful start to early voting in Virginia. But it's too much to come back from. 2025 was already Harris +11 by their estimate projects.statenavigate.com/interactives...
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