kduffygreaves.bsky.social
PDX->SEA->NYC
👤 Joined on 31 Juli 2023
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Okay, I know it's late, but it's finally here: The Poll-Free Calls Final Pre-Election Update! Complete with projections for EVERY House and Senate race! drive.google.com/file/d/1L_lP...
Show PostEven if election day, like it did in 2024, matches absentee voting (very, very doubtful), you still get D+1.8. This is what I mean when I say that at this point it is basically mathematically impossible for AES to lose. Even polls with the race close show him consolidating Harris voter support.
Show Postyeah as I've thought: Abdul is gonna be fine (You should read the entire Michigan EV thread here) (He'll win by a lot more than that)
Show PostHere's Tarrant's final precinct turnout by bucket relative to 2024. Will do more once we get more rosters
Show PostBecause NPAs grows as E-Day approaches Still Dems turnout advantage has expanded and are close to their TOTAL turnout % of 2022!!
Show Post