Well, it's after midnight here, so officially Halloween, so here's a treat: In Louisiana the early vote is +3 D, as compared to +9 R at this point in 2024. Even more impressive, those who have voted already but didn't vote in '24 at all are +30 Dem.

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In 2024 Trump won 67% of the vote in Reeves County, the top turnout surge county on this list. So is this good news for TX Republicans? Absolutely not. In the primary this year, 82% of voters in Reeves County chose a Democratic ballot.

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This will update a little later today, but as of yesterday there are now 3 counties in TX whose early vote so far has surpassed the total turnout for the 2022 general election, including election day.

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Early Vote Report, 10/31/26, TargetEarly midnight update: - Overall turnout up 26% over 2022, very bad sign for the Rs - Dem share +10 over 2024, consistent with Dem generic ballot/Party ID gains - Important - Indies will be much more Dem this time - Youth, Black, Hispanic voter turnout is 🔥🔥🔥1/

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Strongly, strongly recommend this article by analyst @mollymckew.bsky.social. It helps explain Trump's obsession with Alaska right now, and of course it involves giving gifts to Putin and Russia, for that is what he does.

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