Guy Walton..."The Climate Guy"

Guy Walton..."The Climate Guy"

climateguyw.bsky.social

Meteorologist for 30+ years who became convinced that man was causing climate change after Hansen's testimony in 88'. Author of the kids' climate World of Thermo trilogy.

👤 Joined on 09 Februar 2024

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  • 09 Şub 2024, 23:39
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Niño 3.4 changes from: • 1997: +2.13°C → +1.85°C • 2026: +3.34°C → +2.21°C 2026 remains warmer but its lead shrinks from 1.21°C to 0.36°C after adjusting for tropical-ocean warmth.

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So how does 2026’s El Niño compare with 1997 after accounting for warmer tropical oceans? Bottom line: 2026 is still significantly stronger than 1997. For these October 14–20 maps, a RONI-style adjustment subtracts the tropical-average SST anomaly: 0.29°C in 1997 and 1.14°C in 2026…

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There’s a debate in the meteorology/ climate community about how to visualize the 2026 El Niño. One method subtracts recent tropical ocean warming mainly due to climate change (relative RONI index) and one that simply visualizes the event with no correction…

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…at first the impacts will gradually ramp up, then as we get deeper into fall and winter this parade of fronts and #storms will become more frequent and intense. #ElNino

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And so it begins… El Niño Powered Pacific Jet is ramping up! Storms will stretch from #California to #Texas to eventually #Florida over the next week to 10 days. The SW will get hit hard again this weekend. For Florida…

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