ohwhatanight05.bsky.social
👤 Joined on 14 September 2025
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📜 Kullanıcı Geçmişi
- 14 Eyl 2025, 21:11
🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı:
@ohwhatanight05.bsky.social
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Death ACAB For Cutie
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Roger A.
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Ham Roids
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Slay the Spire 2 Sex Mods 🍉
meadowatlast.bsky.social
Comrade Jingle Pants ☭🔻Organize Against Oligarchs!
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☭ Astrid: vampiretoy 🫦🩸
sleepygirl42.tgirl.gay
🇺🇸 Unlimited Patriotism 🇺🇸
caredacted.bsky.social
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Think4yo’self
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YoungJay76
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BKM aka The Incomplete Orchestra
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nosniborniloc.bsky.social
theebear.bsky.social
the Conservative TAKE
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willsmi1
willsfla1.bsky.social
Gray Team
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❤️ Beğendiği Gönderiler
of that excellent "what could be wrong" chart that elliot morris posted, the only genuinely convincing vectors is people unwilling/ashamed to tell pollsters they are voting R, but at the last minute are like "fuck the Dems, the Rs are my team no matter what"
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That ends up with an R+10 electorate. I then applied 10% R defections, 5% D defections and a 60D/40R NPA split and that still gives me a 1.5 point victory for Jolly. For Nixon, I kept the NPA split but assumed 5% defections for both sides and I get a 3.5 point loss for her.
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DCCC is trying to Sean Patrick Maloney the chair of the NRCC.
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