Michael Pettis

Michael Pettis

michaelpettis.bsky.social

Senior Fellow at Carnegie China. For speaking engagements, please write to chinfinpettis@yahoo.com

👤 Joined on 31 Oktober 2023

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  • 31 Eki 2023, 02:48
    🎉 Bluesky'e katıldı - İlk kullanıcı adı: @michaelpettis.bsky.social
  • 10 Kas 2023, 00:33
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@michaelpettis.bsky.social looking more and more correct vs the conventional wisdom.

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The gears of Raymond Vernon’s product cycle argument grind as surely as those of a 16 year old mastering a manual transmission. Substituting exports from China for those from Germany great for shareholders, not so much for workers in Germany

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Essa é uma boa crítica ao governo Lula 3. Foi punido pela baixa produtividade (mas o gov Flávio não vai ser mto diferente, embora prometa ministério da prosperidade)

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The NBS table makes the same point: September exports up 29.6% y/y in yuan terms and industrial output up 5.5%, against retail sales up 1.1% and property investment down 20.6% YTD. Supply keeps outrunning the consumer. $FXI

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“The advantage of all being in the negative [trade balance] is we finally all agree that this cannot go on like this,” said the Belgian premier, adding that the “very good debate” was a “step in the right direction”.

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