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The Senate race between Jon Ossoff and Mike Collins gives us good material to illustrate two common problems with men's trousers, which most people miss when shopping. Let me show you. 🧵

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A point I've made before: even if the US made bad choices re Russia 1991-2021 that prodded Russian politics and leadership beliefs to evolve in certain ways, policy changes re NATO may not cause Russian politics to reset to 1991. (FDR in 1939 could not undo Versailles and its effect on Germany)

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I think this is generally true, but I do not rule out the possibility of the Trump administration attempting something truly stupid with almost no preparation

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It is unwise to put complete faith in even the best polling outfits. It is incredibly stupid to put an ounce of trust in the online casinos that let the most broken gambling addicts in the entire world place sweaty wagers on subjects they barely understand.

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