Great question - I refer you to my previous work on this Important Question: www.niskanencenter.org/what-stars-w...

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Now that you've seen years of "AI exec says within 5 years everyone will be using AI" you're ready for the next week of "political operative says constituency they specialize in is at risk of not turning out"

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Muting the pollbot accounts (especially the ones that don't post links to sources, but really all of them) and instead checking only periodically on the model averages is the best way to stay informed on the state of the race, because the polls that get reposted are most likely to be outliers

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i wish i was a little bit taller/i wish i was zaller i wish i achieved fame as a mass opinion scholar

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It turns out that choosing the lesser of two evils is, in fact, a moral imperative. And some folks want to wait for the Revolutionary Perfect, but I would equally challenge them to demonstrate a single time where a 'start from nothing, year-0' revolution has turned out well for most people.

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